Translation of an op-ed written by Dr. Liu, Director of the Carter Center China Program, originally written in Chinese by China Military Online

BEIJING, July 17 (ChinaMil) — Watchers of China-U.S. relations have recently begun to worry and some even doubt whether China-U.S. relations have come to the “critical point”.

Over the past years, China has curbed signs of “Color Revolution” provoked by America through active means such as legislation. Meanwhile, the U.S. countered China’s “expansion” by means of returning to Asia in high profile and bolstering up countries that have territorial and island disputes with China, and it even began to think about changing policies towards China from “contact” to “restraint”.

In my opinion, watchers of China-U.S. relations can argue about contradictions of bilateral relations as much as they wish, but they cannot stir up troubles. The reason is that relations between China and the U.S. determine the world peace.

George Soros, who is always considered a representative of hostile forces by China, also published an article in The New York Review, saying that only by becoming “partners” can China and the U.S. avoid the war.

In his view, the existing international organizations are unable to stop the spread of international anarchy, and Russia’s actions to Ukraine are overturning the international order dominated by the U.S. and western countries. So, if the U.S. conflicts with China now, the whole world may fall into wars and disasters.

If China refuses to cooperate with the U.S. in denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, the reconstruction of Afghanistan, the stabilization of Iraq and the transformation of Syria because the U.S. goes too far in selling arms to Taiwan and issues of the Diaoyu Dao as well as the South China Sea, the world may fall into a more chaotic and dangerous state.

If the U.S. accelerates to transfer its elite equipment to Asian-Pacific region in response to China’s tough stance in the East China Sea and South China Sea, both parties may enter the “arms race” and the economic development may face more difficulties.

If both parties refuse to communicate, coordinate and cooperate on issues such as climate, energy security, food security, anti-terrorism, nuclear proliferation, infectious diseases as well as financial and economic crisis, the world will slip into disorder without leaderships or international codes to follow.

But a more serious hypothesis is that if both parties terminate the investment and trade cooperation with each other, the two most important engines of the world economic development will be terminated immediately. These mutual constraint and sanctions will lead the world economic development into a long and even endless winter.

Professor Yuan Peng, who is from China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations, said in a letter to Nina Hachigian, the current U.S. ambassador to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, that for China, we will make three promises to the U.S. in order to establish a new pattern of relationship between the two great powers: first, China won’t destroy the existing international order through violent means; second, China won’t enter a cold war with the U.S. and challenge America’s leadership in the world and its existence in Asian-Pacific regions; third, China hopes to find a win-win and nonzero-sum means to solve problems the world is faced with and shape the future of the world together.

Nina Hachigian replied that the U.S. also makes three promises to China: first, we welcome and respect a rich, successful and well-behaved China; second, the U.S, tries to solve differences with China by means of dialogues according to the international routines and with the way of respecting each other; third, the U.S. welcomes China to get involved in and lead regional and world affairs in a peaceful and constructive way.

Both Yuan and Nina Hachigian are middle-level watchers of the China-U.S. relations. They always dispute with each other and blame each other’s insincerity or unction in various meetings and other occasions. However, they both know the bilateral relations are the pillar for world’s peace, development and prosperity.

Their arguments just aim to make more people recognize clearly, before the meeting of Chairman Xi Jinping and President Obama in Sept this year, that the bilateral relations are vital for both countries’ stabilization and development, for peace and co-construction in Asian-Pacific region and for the whole world that shares a common fate.

July 17 2015 on China Military Online