Here are some weekly news updates prepared byDr. Robert A. Kapp, Senior Advisor to The China Program of the Carter Center, for this week.
October 29 – November 3
http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/2117570/westerners-extolling-all-powerful-xi-jinping-are-missing?utm_content=buffer4cc10&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer Niall Ferguson is usually a little to august for this Editor’s taste, but in this case his cautionary words about getting overly awed by post-Congress Xi Jinping are on the mark.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/theworldpost/wp/2017/10/26/xi-jinpings-brave-new-world/?utm_term=.9c3283e69c28 Steve Tsang ruminates on the meaning of Xi Jinping’s apotheosis at the recent Party Congress.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-11/02/c_136723707.htm The New Era begins.
https://macropolo.org/chinas-ai-revolution-advances-one-mobile-payment-time/ Speaking of “New Eras,” this is a lively and cogent piece about the transition from cashless consumer payment systems to forward leaps in Artificial Intelligence in China. The link – the vast mass of Big Data acquired by the online payment companies. A Must Read.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-10/26/c_136707498.htm Optimistic words from official PRC news source re the likelihood of further SOE “reform.” Opinion outside of China all over the map on this, but mostly tending pessimistic after the apparent doctrinal emphasis on state role in the economy at the recent Congress.
http://tinyurl.com/yd5lbwps No one has proved more eloquent at advancing an optimistic, accepting embrace of Beijing’s portrait of China’s future than Eric Li, a venture capitalist with time in the U.S. but now based in Shanghai. Here he argues forcefully that Western skeptics, proven wrong time and again, will be proven wrong again this time, as China embarks on the “New Era.” What he never mentions, because it doesn’t trouble him, is what troubles many others: intellectual repression, sometimes ruthless authoritarianism, profound weakness of the “rule of law,” etc. In other words, his upbeat vision simply excludes consideration of many of the things that make others less upbeat.
http://tinyurl.com/ybr8dmp5 Hong Kong China scholar David Zweig’s thoughts on what the “New Era” plastered all over the rhetoric of the recent Party Congress might hold for the wider world.
https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/19th-party-congress-more-assertive-chinese-foreign-policy Some of the early post-Party Congress “expert” analysis is markedly more substantive than most of the deluge of can’t-not-write pieces beforehand. Here CSIS’s Bonnie Glaser observes gloomily that PRC foreign policy in Xi’s second term is likely to posit an alternative Chinese international order to the hitherto dominant “liberal rules-based order” that the U.S. has largely formed and led since World War II.
http://www.nybooks.com/daily/2017/10/25/chinas-silk-road-illusions/ A gimlet-eyed look at BRI – the Belt and Road Initiative championed by, and identified with, Xi Jinping. This essay will not be popular in China.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/xi-power-national-congress-weakness-by-minxin-pei-2017-10 Minxin Pei, like most highly informed analysts in the week following the Party Congress, spends most of this article laying out the core elements of what emerged from the Congress, but his comments at the very end of the article make the whole thing worth reading, whether he turns out to be right or wrong in coming years.
https://qz.com/1110263/the-19th-party-congress-line-up-meet-chinas-new-top-leadership/ Profiles of the seven men in the Politburo Standing Committee.
https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/why-trumps-fawning-over-chinas-xi-jinping-probably-wont-work Cautions against over-optimism with regard to North Korea outcomes of Trump upcoming visit to China. Written by a competent all-purpose current affairs writer, not an Asia/China/Korea specialist.
http://tinyurl.com/ydyjcojf As Trump lifts off for Asia breaths are being held in US government and policy circles. Council on Foreign Relations Asia guru Elizabeth Economy articulates a set of (low) expectations, punctuated by very acute observations about the man and the trip – and about post-19th Congress China.
https://qz.com/1113435/chinas-19th-party-congress-chen-miner-hu-chunhua-and-ding-xuexiang-could-succeed-xi-jinping-as-communist-party-chief/ With no successor to Xi Jinping explicitly identified at the recent Party Congress, this author looks below the Standing Committee to the full Politburo of 25 figures, and finds three who might qualify as Xi’s successor, if he were to adhere to recent precedent and leave his Party post after his second five-year term.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-26/china-s-u-s-buying-spree-prompts-move-to-toughen-deal-reviews More steam, especially on Capitol Hill, as to whether the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, (CFIUS), as currently defined, is adequate to protect U.S. national interests in the face of rising and diversifying forms of PRC investment in the U.S., or whether CFIUS needs to be redefine and its mandate enlarged.
https://cpianalysis.org/2017/11/01/dude-wheres-my-paper/ One Western academic’s thoughts on the disappearance of his research paper from the website of a prestigious publisher, Springer Nature, in the wake of revelations that that publisher had removed hundreds of scholarly research articles from its website in China at the demand of Chinese political censors. Following on the Cambridge University Press admission two weeks ago that they, too, had pulled scholarly content from their website because of Chinese censors’ objections, this represents a growing problem that is not going to disappear, since it is linked to post-Party Congress PRC triumphalism about the superiority of just about anything – including intellectual/academic controls – that bears the title of “with Chinese characteristics.”
https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-china-swallowed-the-wto-1509551308 An extremely important article. The WTO is the institutional embodiment of the “rules-based international system” that attempts to substitute global agreements for an uncivilized “state of nature” in international trade. China’s arrival as a vast economic power, particularly since its accession to the WTO at the end of 2001, by definition has reconfigured much of the global economy, including the trade sector. The future of the WTO is in play, as this author makes clear. The cavalier behavior of the current U.S. Administration, with respect to global and multilateral trade agreements, only makes that future even more cloudy.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-plays-down-role-in-u-s-opioid-crisis-ahead-of-trumps-visit-1509708703 A faint odor of “Opium War In Reverse” lingers over the present U.S. opioid epidemic, though the historical parallels are limited.
http://www.sixthtone.com/news/1001102/the-alibaba-warehouse-where-fake-goods-go-to-die Great piece, by an undergraduate writer, on the persistence of the counterfeit-goods problem in e-commerce, and how Alibaba, one of the two Chinese titans of e-commerce, goes about trying to reduce it.